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Dec 4, 2012
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and i think opec has apparently been able to manage that but i think on its own, opec is unable to maintain that price if there are real pressures on the demand side. so i think the fact that we've had relative stability around 100, 110 dollars brent is a testimony not only for opec's ability to manage the price, which sink marginal, but a confluence of interests at the moment between both producers and suppliers that this meets somewhere fairly in the middle. >> peter, we've been fairly volatile. a lot of that's down it tto the o geopolitics. and i assume that's the wide card still into 2013. >> iran will be feeling vulnerable. the fact is that over the last few months, it is now producing less than iraq and i think that will increase the feeling of sensitivity on the part of iran. highlighted the threat of instability because it really hasn't got the influence of volume control, so it has to be three more public statements and issues like that. and it tends to put things in the market when there is need for a proos supporice support. >> all right. thanks for that, peter. swiss government
and i think opec has apparently been able to manage that but i think on its own, opec is unable to maintain that price if there are real pressures on the demand side. so i think the fact that we've had relative stability around 100, 110 dollars brent is a testimony not only for opec's ability to manage the price, which sink marginal, but a confluence of interests at the moment between both producers and suppliers that this meets somewhere fairly in the middle. >> peter, we've been fairly...
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Dec 12, 2012
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tensions run high at the opec meeting. the eoe says there must be a response to the oil market that's oversupplied: >> we're, of course, concerned that there will be a certain level of overproduction over the next 18 month or so if the production continues. >>> italy likely to see a strong uptick at the first bond auction after mario monti announced his intention to step down. >>> the international community blast north korea after it successfully launches a long-range rocket prompting an emergency u.n. security council meeting. >>> employment numbers out of the u.k. look strongerment remembe-- stronger. we thought there might be wider unemployment it fall. the claiming count actually down 3,000. the polls forecasting the number of people claiming unemployment benefits to rise. the jobless number down by 82,000 in the last three months through october. the rate 7.8. the employment up by another 40,000 to 29.601 million. the yen another highest on record. still no pressure from wages, average weekly earnings 1.8%. the annua
tensions run high at the opec meeting. the eoe says there must be a response to the oil market that's oversupplied: >> we're, of course, concerned that there will be a certain level of overproduction over the next 18 month or so if the production continues. >>> italy likely to see a strong uptick at the first bond auction after mario monti announced his intention to step down. >>> the international community blast north korea after it successfully launches a long-range...
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Dec 13, 2012
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. >> and in just the last few minutes, the opec secretary said he doesn't see any threat from u.s. shale product, this after the uae minister has suggested a response from the oil ministers in vienna. gary ross, welcome. >> nice to be here. >> the shale revolution in the u.s., is it a game changer as much as we're hearing from jamie dimon, arcelormittal? do you think this is going to make the u.s. energy independent, almost? >> well, we think it is. it's huge. we've statemented about 11110 billion pounds of recovery oil from shale crude. u.s. product will be going up overall, about a million barrels a day in 2013. about 65% of it will be shale crude. and it will continue to grow. >> people should understand we're not just talking about gas. we're talking about methods that's right.extract more oil. gas is clearly surplus. we're going to have l&g exports in the united states. we have a long-term growth phenomenon for natural gas. what people don't realize is how huge the oil is. when we talk about $110 billion of recovered oil, that's on 7.5% recovery rate. the resource itself is hu
. >> and in just the last few minutes, the opec secretary said he doesn't see any threat from u.s. shale product, this after the uae minister has suggested a response from the oil ministers in vienna. gary ross, welcome. >> nice to be here. >> the shale revolution in the u.s., is it a game changer as much as we're hearing from jamie dimon, arcelormittal? do you think this is going to make the u.s. energy independent, almost? >> well, we think it is. it's huge. we've...
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Dec 12, 2012
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. >> opec and the fed, hey, u.s. production up. let's go to sharon epperson at the nymex. >> oil has really been on the move since the open a few minutes ago. not so much opec, which still packed with the current quota around 30 million barrels per day, it is producing more than that. but we are hearing, of course, from opec itself that saudi arabia has reduced its production in november to the lowest level in a year. so that seems to be a way that they will adhere closer to the current quota. we're also looking at the latest report from the international energy agency which may have more of an impact where oil prices are going in this session. they're looking for slightly demand in 2013. and they're pointing to china for the reason. we're anticipating we'll get the report from the energy department at 10:30 a.m. on oil supplies. the expectation is for a slight decline in food supplies. but we did see a major build in the industry report, if that is confirmed we could see these gains short-lived. back to you. >> all right. thank yo
. >> opec and the fed, hey, u.s. production up. let's go to sharon epperson at the nymex. >> oil has really been on the move since the open a few minutes ago. not so much opec, which still packed with the current quota around 30 million barrels per day, it is producing more than that. but we are hearing, of course, from opec itself that saudi arabia has reduced its production in november to the lowest level in a year. so that seems to be a way that they will adhere closer to the...
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Dec 12, 2012
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and the saudis don't want an iranian in charge of opec. the saudis have had to put forward their own man, as well, to replace him. is there going to be a delay? i spoke toal badri. listen to what he had to say about that and oil prices. >> do not jump to conclusion. let us -- let us hear what the conference will say. >> in terms of the oil price, sir. appears ostensibly everyone's happy with the current price. would you say the storm clouds are brewing in terms of levels of inventories, the amount of supply needed from opec compared to what it's currently pumping? >> when you look at the political situation, the situation in the united states, the fiscal cliff, you look at a lot of factors, there are really -- they contradict each other. i don't know where the price will go up or go down. i think the price will stay the same for next year. i don't think the price will come down. yes, there is some -- maybe 59, maybe 30 million dollars day, five-year average. and that's 30 million barrel only, the five-year average, as far as the stock is c
and the saudis don't want an iranian in charge of opec. the saudis have had to put forward their own man, as well, to replace him. is there going to be a delay? i spoke toal badri. listen to what he had to say about that and oil prices. >> do not jump to conclusion. let us -- let us hear what the conference will say. >> in terms of the oil price, sir. appears ostensibly everyone's happy with the current price. would you say the storm clouds are brewing in terms of levels of...
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Dec 28, 2012
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at the moment, really we've got to see what opec wants to do. last year, the impact of the embargo wasn't -- was like a six week impact and it was forgotten about very quickly. and if you think about it, last year was a very, very steady year for oil prices. wti, as you said, is going to post the lowest rise in several years. in fact, i looked back in my forecast that i had for wti at the beginning of 2012. and it was $111 $a barrel. i moved it down to $110 in the middle of the year thinking it might get a little weaker and poked around and did absolutely nothing. >> i wonder whether the question is going to come back again into the oil markets given that we're looking at the israeli elections coming up in january. but back to the u.s. story, i find it hugely interesting, this notion of u.s. becoming energy independent on its own. do you really think it will happen? because i still talk to a couple of people in the oim and gas industry that say, you know what? it's a far cry from the reality out there. we're still going to see the middle east be
at the moment, really we've got to see what opec wants to do. last year, the impact of the embargo wasn't -- was like a six week impact and it was forgotten about very quickly. and if you think about it, last year was a very, very steady year for oil prices. wti, as you said, is going to post the lowest rise in several years. in fact, i looked back in my forecast that i had for wti at the beginning of 2012. and it was $111 $a barrel. i moved it down to $110 in the middle of the year thinking it...
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Dec 11, 2012
12/12
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but we're also waiting to see what happens in vienna with the opec meeting. in addition to the fed that comes out tomorrow. the expectation is, that opec will leave their current quota unchanged, around 30 million barrels per day. the actual production, around 31 million barrels a day. there may not be any change to that. the key will be what happens in terms of the election of a new secretary-general and saudi arabia in the running for that as well. back to you. >> thanks very much, sharon epperson. i did want to look at shares of largest for-profit hospital in the country. a secondary offering this morning. hga finds itself in the of so many movements of the capital structure, reflective of the 250i78s. don't forget, they borrow at incredibly low rates not long ago, $1 billion, to pay a special dividend. you want to pay a special dividend prior to any tax increase on dividends as well. capital gains figuring into that debate, let's call it at this point that we've been detailing down in d.c. with our "mission critical" coverage. this morning, two of the own
but we're also waiting to see what happens in vienna with the opec meeting. in addition to the fed that comes out tomorrow. the expectation is, that opec will leave their current quota unchanged, around 30 million barrels per day. the actual production, around 31 million barrels a day. there may not be any change to that. the key will be what happens in terms of the election of a new secretary-general and saudi arabia in the running for that as well. back to you. >> thanks very much,...
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Dec 24, 2012
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opec's 2013 target is around $100. i think we'll move up into the mid-90s and probably press through that $100. one of the burdens we have is we do have an abundance of supply in the u.s. the u.s. won't export any crude oil, but i think the possibility of us starting to consume more, would drive and help support those higher prices. >> when you put on those longs, i'm wondering, because this week is a holiday shortened week. congress is coming back on the 27th. is this a trade for 2013? >> yeah, it is more of a trade for 2013. i wiould start to look at fartherer out contracts, to like december 2013, and play the entire year's action, just by being long that one contract. but i would strongly wait until after the beginning of the year, because of the weaker volume, the lack of participants. and i think that the price is really going to shop around. >> nat gas prices taking a step back. what do you see in the immediate future and what is the main catalyst here? the weather seems to be sort of calm. >> yeah. that's the is
opec's 2013 target is around $100. i think we'll move up into the mid-90s and probably press through that $100. one of the burdens we have is we do have an abundance of supply in the u.s. the u.s. won't export any crude oil, but i think the possibility of us starting to consume more, would drive and help support those higher prices. >> when you put on those longs, i'm wondering, because this week is a holiday shortened week. congress is coming back on the 27th. is this a trade for 2013?...
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Dec 5, 2012
12/12
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you have non-opec demand growing, global demand slowing, it's not snowing, and down is where we're going. the next big data point is probably the iaea report in february. and if that implicates more progress toward an iranian bomb, there's significant risk to look to the upside. in the meantime, you have a lot of other issues beyond the fiscal cliff. debt ceiling issues, if not resolved in the negotiation looming. and relatively long stocks here in the u.s. perhaps the most interesting part, becky, is to look at the convergence between light and heavy grades here in north america. we have a lot of light oil. and we're actually potentially short of heavy oil. so seeing convergence within that downward trend means there could be a bid for heavier. >> you would guess that would certainly hurt demand. >> sure. offsetting weakness in the dollar would lift the crude price based on historical trends, of course. yeah, it would be a significant blow, and when we're looking at 370 plus barrels of commercial inventories, folks are going to freak out. at the end of the year is a de-stocking time. cl
you have non-opec demand growing, global demand slowing, it's not snowing, and down is where we're going. the next big data point is probably the iaea report in february. and if that implicates more progress toward an iranian bomb, there's significant risk to look to the upside. in the meantime, you have a lot of other issues beyond the fiscal cliff. debt ceiling issues, if not resolved in the negotiation looming. and relatively long stocks here in the u.s. perhaps the most interesting part,...